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Week 3 Reflective Journal

Week 3 Reflective Journal

Q Prior to beginning work on this assignment, read Chapters 5 and 6 in Superforecasting. The intent of the journal is to apply what you have learned to how data analytics is applied in industry. After reading the assigned chapters of Superforecasting this week, write a reflective journal of the three most important take-aways contained in the chapters. Your journal should be between two to three pages excluding cover and reference page. Carefully review the Grading Rubric Links to an external site.for the criteria that will be used to evaluate your assignment.

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During this week's reading on chapters five and six of Superforecasters, some exciting stories stood out more than others. From the many fascinating stories, Superforecasters told the Fermi-ize approach, the perspective of knowledge and intelligence, and the capture of Osama Bin Laden. These three pieces in Superforecasters provided a lot more insight and curiosity on the opinion of forecasting. The Fermi-ize approach is a decent process for solving complex problem sets. This approach allows the forecaster or problem solver to take a question and dissect it by separating the knowable from the unknowable. The idea of taking a single question and generating follow-on questions to develop relevant answers to the single question seems quite impressive.